Event odds table
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? — live odds
5 outcomes$1.2M traded$45K · 24hresolves by November 1, 2026
Live Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? odds: June 30, 2027 leads the field at 56% implied probability, ahead of December 31, 2026 (16%) and October 31, 2026 (3%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.2M traded ($45K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
June 30, 2027 56%
implied probability (56¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5
1June 30, 2027
56%56¢ · $41K 24h2December 31, 2026
16%16¢ · $305 24h3October 31, 2026
3%3¢ · $2K 24h4March 31, 2027
—— · $699 24h5November 30, 2026
—— · $830 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...??
- The market currently favors June 30, 2027 at 56% implied probability (YES trading at 56¢).
- How much has been traded on Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...??
- $1.2M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $45K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026.
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