Which outcome is favored for Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...??

The market currently favors December 31 at 40% implied probability (YES trading at 40¢).

How much has been traded on Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...??

$1.1M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $28K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026.

Event odds table

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? — live odds

4 outcomes$1.1M traded$28K · 24hresolves by September 1, 2026

Live Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...? odds: December 31 leads the field at 40% implied probability, ahead of October 31 (12%) and September 30 (5%). All 4 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.1M traded ($28K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by September 1, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31 40%

implied probability (40¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 4

Full market details →

1December 31

40%40¢ · $5K 24h 2October 31

12%12¢ · $117 24h 3September 30

5%5¢ · $661 24h 4August 31

0%0¢ · $22K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...??: The market currently favors December 31 at 40% implied probability (YES trading at 40¢).
How much has been traded on Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...??: $1.1M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $28K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 1, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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