Which outcome is favored for Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...??

The market currently favors December 31, 2026 at 3% implied probability (YES trading at 3¢).

How much has been traded on Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...??

$2.9M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $47K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Event odds table

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$2.9M traded$47K · 24hresolves by January 1, 2027

Live Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? odds: December 31, 2026 leads the field at 3% implied probability. All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $2.9M traded ($47K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by January 1, 2027. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31, 2026 3%

implied probability (3¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1December 31, 2026

3%3¢ · $47K 24h 2June 30, 2027

—— · $142 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...??: The market currently favors December 31, 2026 at 3% implied probability (YES trading at 3¢).
How much has been traded on Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...??: $2.9M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $47K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by January 1, 2027.

Get alerts on every outcome

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