Which outcome is favored for Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...??

The market currently favors December 31, 2026 at 8% implied probability (YES trading at 8¢).

How much has been traded on Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...??

$2.6M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Event odds table

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? — live odds

2 outcomes$2.6M traded$2K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026

Live Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? odds: December 31, 2026 leads the field at 8% implied probability. All 2 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $2.6M traded ($2K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

December 31, 2026 8%

implied probability (8¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 2

Full market details →

1December 31, 2026

8%8¢ · $580 24h 2June 30, 2027

—— · $1K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...??: The market currently favors December 31, 2026 at 8% implied probability (YES trading at 8¢).
How much has been traded on Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...??: $2.6M has been traded across 2 outcome markets, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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