Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? — live odds

Part of Richest person on December 31, 2026?· see all 10 outcomes →📲 Open in app

94%

implied probability

YES 94¢NO 6¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$178K

total volume

Dec 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±23¢ swing band
19d ago
High volatility
±25.7¢ swing band
19d ago
Odds swing
97¢ → 15¢ (-82¢ in 15 min)
19d ago
High volatility
±27.6¢ swing band
19d ago
High volatility
±20.3¢ swing band
23d ago
High volatility
±40.9¢ swing band
23d ago
Odds swing
97¢ → 1¢ (-96¢ in 15 min)
23d ago
High volatility
±27.6¢ swing band
23d ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 93¢ (+92¢ in 15 min)
23d ago
High volatility
±7.9¢ swing band
23d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on December 31, 2026, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by January 2, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.