Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1? — live odds

Part of # of views of Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look on week 1?· see all 12 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?" is trading at a 36% implied probability, with YES at 36¢ and NO at 65¢. $42K has changed hands so far, $38K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 3, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this culture market in real time.

36%

implied probability

YES 36¢NO 65¢

recent price

-3¢ over the window

-3¢

24h change

$38K

24h volume

$42K

total volume

Sep 3, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±21.6¢ swing band
5m ago
Odds swing
88¢ → 44¢ (-44¢ in 15 min)
5m ago
High volatility
±9.6¢ swing band
20m ago
High volatility
±15.1¢ swing band
41m ago
High volatility
±24¢ swing band
56m ago
Odds swing
57¢ → 41¢ (-16¢ in 15 min)
56m ago
Volume spike
$1,500 traded — 50.8× the average
1h ago
High volatility
±17.8¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±27.1¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
39¢ → 70¢ (+31¢ in 15 min)
1h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look video gets in the first 168 hours after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 168 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to "Grand Theft Auto VI: An Extended Look" (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tJbzMqJGH4k)