
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? — live odds
24%
implied probability
recent price
-3¢ over the window
-3¢
24h change
$121K
24h volume
$1.4M
total volume
Oct 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 0m ago
Volume spike
$360 traded — 6× the average
- 5m ago
Volume spike
$243 traded — 4.1× the average
- 15m ago
High volatility
±21.9¢ swing band
- 15m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 100¢ (+98.9¢ in 15 min)
- 30m ago
High volatility
±42.1¢ swing band
- 45m ago
High volatility
±31.4¢ swing band
- 45m ago
Odds swing
1¢ → 90¢ (+89.2¢ in 15 min)
- 1h ago
High volatility
±30.5¢ swing band
- 1h ago
Volume spike
$6,572 traded — 113× the average
- 1h ago
High volatility
±27.9¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?"?
The market currently prices YES at 24¢ and NO at 76¢, an implied probability of 24% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$1.4M has been traded in total, $121K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
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