Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27? live odds

24%

implied probability

YES 24¢NO 76¢

recent price

-3¢ over the window

-3¢

24h change

$121K

24h volume

$1.4M

total volume

Oct 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Volume spike

    $360 traded — 6× the average

    0m ago
  • Volume spike

    $243 traded — 4.1× the average

    5m ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.9¢ swing band

    15m ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 100¢ (+98.9¢ in 15 min)

    15m ago
  • High volatility

    ±42.1¢ swing band

    30m ago
  • High volatility

    ±31.4¢ swing band

    45m ago
  • Odds swing

    1¢ → 90¢ (+89.2¢ in 15 min)

    45m ago
  • High volatility

    ±30.5¢ swing band

    1h ago
  • Volume spike

    $6,572 traded — 113× the average

    1h ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.9¢ swing band

    1h ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?"?

The market currently prices YES at 24¢ and NO at 76¢, an implied probability of 24% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by October 31, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$1.4M has been traded in total, $121K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

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