Markets

Live prediction market odds

200 markets$17.4M · 24h on this page

The highest-volume Polymarket markets, priced as live probabilities. Every page carries the signal activity the PolyWatch radar caught — whale trades, odds swings, volume spikes.

📅 Following a race, not a single question?Event odds tables rank every outcome of a nomination, tournament or election on one page — updated live.Browse events →⏱️ Watching a market that repeats?Trackers keep one page per recurring question — the live odds plus how every past edition resolved.Browse trackers →

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

2%

YES 2¢ · NO 98¢$65.5M
Cultureresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

14%

YES 14¢ · NO 86¢$64.8M
Politicsresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$54.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$54.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$52.7M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$50.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$48.7M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.7M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.2M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.0M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.5M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.3M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.3M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$41.0M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

YES 4¢ · NO 96¢$40.6M
Politicsresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$40.3M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$38.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$38.5M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$38.1M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Recently resolved

How the market called it — final odds against the actual outcome.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 4?Sep 4, 2026 · $87K tradedNOfinal 0¢S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 4?Sep 4, 2026 · $41K tradedYESfinal 100¢Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Sep 4, 2026 · $295K tradedYESfinal 100¢Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 4?Sep 4, 2026 · $231K tradedYESfinal 100¢Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Sep 4, 2026 · $316K tradedNOfinal 0¢Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Sep 4, 2026 · $45K tradedNOfinal 0¢Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Sep 4, 2026 · $54K tradedNOfinal 0¢Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Sep 4, 2026 · $288K tradedNOfinal 0¢Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Sep 4, 2026 · $172K tradedNOfinal 0¢Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 4?Sep 4, 2026 · $25K tradedNOfinal 0¢Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 4?Sep 4, 2026 · $231K tradedYESfinal 99¢Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?Sep 4, 2026 · $166K tradedNOfinal 2¢