Which outcome is favored for Bitcoin above ___ on August 5??

The market currently favors "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?" at 100% implied probability (YES trading at 100¢).

How much has been traded on Bitcoin above ___ on August 5??

$1.6M has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $1.2M of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 5, 2026.

Event odds table

Bitcoin above ___ on August 5? — live odds

11 outcomes$1.6M traded$1.2M · 24hresolves by August 5, 2026

Live Bitcoin above ___ on August 5? odds: the market's 50/50 line sits at 64 (54% implied), with all 11 thresholds ranked below by probability and $1.6M traded, resolving by August 5, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's 50/50 line

64 54%

implied — the threshold the market prices closest to even, across 11 levels

Full market details →

160

100%100¢ · $209K 24h 254

100%100¢ · $152K 24h 358

100%100¢ · $52K 24h 456

100%100¢ · $25K 24h 562

99%99¢ · $104K 24h 664

54%54¢ · $34K 24h 766

1%1¢ · $144K 24h 870

0%0¢ · $220K 24h 968

0%0¢ · $212K 24h 1072

0%0¢ · $28K 24h 1174

0%0¢ · $26K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Bitcoin above ___ on August 5??: The market currently favors "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?" at 100% implied probability (YES trading at 100¢).
How much has been traded on Bitcoin above ___ on August 5??: $1.6M has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $1.2M of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 5, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 11 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.