Elections
Election odds by race
18 races$3.1B traded
Every candidate's implied probability, ranked on one page per race — US, European, Latin American and Middle Eastern elections, priced by real money and updated around the clock. Right now the market favors Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez in the Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 (19%) and JD Vance in the Presidential Election Winner 2028 (24%).
Front-runners right now
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19%front-runner · 19¢ YESSee the full odds →Presidential Election Winner 2028JD Vance 24%front-runner · 24¢ YESSee the full odds →Republican Presidential Nominee 2028J.D. Vance 50%front-runner · 50¢ YESSee the full odds →Brazil Presidential ElectionFlávio Bolsonaro 53%front-runner · 53¢ YESSee the full odds →Next French Presidential ElectionMarine Le Pen 38%front-runner · 38¢ YESSee the full odds →California Governor Election WinnerXavier Becerra 95%front-runner · 95¢ YESSee the full odds →
United States
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
California Governor Election Winner
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?Europe
Americas
Middle East & Asia
Other races
Presidential Election Winner 2028
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
Next Prime Minister of SwedenRussia Parliamentary Election Winner
Berlin State Election Winner
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Los Angeles Mayoral ElectionSweden Parliamentary Election WinnerCommon questions
- What are election betting odds?
- On a prediction market, a candidate trading at 64¢ means the market prices roughly a 64% chance they win. These pages read every Polymarket election market as that implied probability, updated continuously as money moves.
- Where can I see live presidential odds?
- Each presidential race has its own table on this page — the 2028 US Democratic and Republican nominations, the 2028 general election, the 2027 French presidential election and Brazil's presidential race. Open any race to see every candidate's live implied probability, refreshed every few minutes.
- Which elections can I track here?
- 18 election markets are tracked right now — including US 2028 nominations, the 2027 French presidential election, Brazil, Israel's next prime minister and state races — with $3.1B traded across them.
- How often do the odds update?
- Prices refresh continuously as trades happen; these pages re-read the market every few minutes. PolyWatch also pushes an alert the moment a market moves sharply.