Which outcome is favored for Bitcoin above ___ on November 4??

This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 78 (74% implied). All 11 thresholds are ranked in the table below.

How much has been traded on Bitcoin above ___ on November 4??

$836K has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $684K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.

Event odds table

Bitcoin above ___ on November 4? — live odds

11 outcomes$836K traded$684K · 24hresolves by November 4, 2026

Live Bitcoin above ___ on November 4? odds: the market's 50/50 line sits at 78 (74% implied), with all 11 thresholds ranked below by probability and $836K traded, resolving by November 4, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's 50/50 line

78 74%

implied — the threshold the market prices closest to even, across 11 levels

Full market details →

170

100%100¢ · $71K 24h 272

100%100¢ · $50K 24h 374

100%100¢ · $63K 24h 476

98%98¢ · $46K 24h 578

74%74¢ · $93K 24h 680

6%6¢ · $74K 24h 782

1%1¢ · $58K 24h 884

0%0¢ · $39K 24h 988

0%0¢ · $119K 24h 1090

0%0¢ · $19K 24h 1186

0%0¢ · $53K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Bitcoin above ___ on November 4??: This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 78 (74% implied). All 11 thresholds are ranked in the table below.
How much has been traded on Bitcoin above ___ on November 4??: $836K has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $684K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 4, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 11 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.