Which outcome is favored for How many Fed rate hikes in 2026??

The market currently favors 2 Fed rate hikes at 61% implied probability (YES trading at 61¢).

How much has been traded on How many Fed rate hikes in 2026??

$823K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $21K of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Event odds table

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? — live odds

5 outcomes$823K traded$21K · 24hresolves by December 31, 2026

Live How many Fed rate hikes in 2026? odds: 2 Fed rate hikes leads the field at 61% implied probability, ahead of 1 Fed rate hike (21%) and 3 Fed rate hikes (12%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $823K traded ($21K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by December 31, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's call

2 Fed rate hikes 61%

implied probability (61¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5

Full market details →

12 Fed rate hikes

61%61¢ · $14K 24h 21 Fed rate hike

21%21¢ · $5K 24h 33 Fed rate hikes

12%12¢ · $725 24h 44 Fed rate hikes

1%1¢ · $488 24h 55 or more Fed rate hikes

1%1¢ · $488 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for How many Fed rate hikes in 2026??: The market currently favors 2 Fed rate hikes at 61% implied probability (YES trading at 61¢).
How much has been traded on How many Fed rate hikes in 2026??: $823K has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $21K of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

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