Event odds table
Next Claude Opus released by...? — live odds
6 outcomes$242K traded$36K · 24hresolves by July 22, 2026
1July 24
93%93¢ · $13K 24h2July 31
85%85¢ · $12K 24h3October 31
67%67¢ · $346 24h4December 31
38%38¢ · $1K 24h5July 22
4%4¢ · $10K 24h6August 31
—— · $209 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Next Claude Opus released by...??
- The market currently favors "Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?" at 93% implied probability (YES trading at 93¢).
- How much has been traded on Next Claude Opus released by...??
- $242K has been traded across 6 outcome markets, $36K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by July 22, 2026.
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