Tech Prediction Markets

Tech Prediction Markets

200 markets$935K · 24h on this page

Live tech prediction market odds — AI model releases, product launches, and company milestones.

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

4%

YES 4¢ · NO 96¢$8.0M
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?

15%

YES 14¢ · NO 86¢$2.4M
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

AI bubble burst in 2026?

14%

YES 14¢ · NO 86¢$2.4M
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?

13%

YES 13¢ · NO 88¢$1.7M
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?

10%

YES 10¢ · NO 91¢$1.2M
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

79%

YES 79¢ · NO 21¢$1.1M
Techresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will BP be acquired before 2027?

3%

YES 3¢ · NO 97¢$1.1M
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?

27%

YES 27¢ · NO 73¢$1.1M
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?

87%

YES 87¢ · NO 13¢$1.0M
Techresolves Dec 31, 2027

Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?

14%

YES 14¢ · NO 86¢$979K
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

10%

YES 10¢ · NO 91¢$953K
Tech

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$937K
Techresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

13%

YES 13¢ · NO 87¢$883K
Techresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$827K
Techresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$811K
Techresolves Dec 31, 2026

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

6%

YES 6¢ · NO 94¢$768K
Techresolves Nov 19, 2026

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$750K
Techresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?

9%

YES 9¢ · NO 91¢$742K
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

7%

YES 7¢ · NO 94¢$685K
Techresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?

3%

YES 3¢ · NO 97¢$663K
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?

8%

YES 8¢ · NO 93¢$624K
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

1%

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$608K
Techresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?

89%

YES 89¢ · NO 11¢$591K
Techresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

100%

YES 100¢ · NO 0¢$581K
Techresolves Oct 1, 2026

Today in Tech Prediction Markets

Most active todayWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?11¢ · $137K · 24hResolving nextWill OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?100¢ · resolves September 4, 2026Biggest marketWill Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?4¢ · $8.0M all-time

Tech Prediction Markets — common questions

What is the most active tech prediction markets market right now?
"Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?" leads today's trading with $137K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 11¢ (11% implied probability).
How much is traded on tech prediction markets?
The 200 markets tracked here traded $935K in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?", has $8.0M in lifetime volume.
How do these odds work?
Each price is a probability: a market trading at 11¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 11% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.