Tech Prediction Markets
Tech Prediction Markets
Live tech prediction market odds — AI model releases, product launches, and company milestones.
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?
16%
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
17%
AI bubble burst in 2026?
17%
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?
35%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
72%
Will GitLab be acquired before 2027?
10%
Will BP be acquired before 2027?
12%
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
72%
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
11%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
99%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
61%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
19%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
99%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
0%
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
6%
Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027?
13%
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
0%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
0%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
0%
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
9%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
23%
Today in Tech Prediction Markets
Tech Prediction Markets — common questions
- What is the most active tech prediction markets market right now?
- "Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?" leads today's trading with $86K in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 72¢ (72% implied probability).
- How much is traded on tech prediction markets?
- The 200 markets tracked here traded $629K in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?", has $7.9M in lifetime volume.
- How do these odds work?
- Each price is a probability: a market trading at 72¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 72% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.