Event odds table
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause) — live odds
4 outcomes$1.7M traded$348K · 24hresolves by July 24, 2026
1August 31
48%48¢ · $60K 24h2August 14
36%36¢ · $23K 24h3July 31
18%18¢ · $61K 24h4July 24
4%4¢ · $204K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)?
- The market currently favors "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?" at 48% implied probability (YES trading at 48¢).
- How much has been traded on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by...? (2 week pause)?
- $1.7M has been traded across 4 outcome markets, $348K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by July 24, 2026.
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