Election & Politics Odds

Election & Politics Odds

200 markets$17.6M · 24h on this page

Live election betting odds and political prediction markets — what the market prices for elections, nominations, and policy calls.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

15%

YES 15¢ · NO 85¢$64.8M
Politicsresolves Jan 1, 2027

Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$54.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$54.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$52.7M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$50.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$48.7M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.7M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.2M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$44.0M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.5M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.4M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$43.3M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.8M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$42.3M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$41.0M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

YES 4¢ · NO 96¢$40.6M
Politicsresolves Dec 31, 2026

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$40.3M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$38.9M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$38.5M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0%

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$38.1M
Politicsresolves Nov 7, 2028

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

4%

YES 4¢ · NO 96¢$38.0M
Politicsresolves Jan 1, 2027

Today in Election & Politics Odds

Most active todayWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?0¢ · $5.4M · 24hResolving nextWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?0¢ · resolves September 16, 2026Biggest marketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?15¢ · $64.8M all-time

Election & Politics Odds — common questions

What is the most active election & politics odds market right now?
"Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?" leads today's trading with $5.4M in 24h volume, currently pricing YES at 0¢ (0% implied probability).
How much is traded on election & politics odds?
The 200 markets tracked here traded $17.6M in the last 24 hours. The largest, "Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?", has $64.8M in lifetime volume.
How do these odds work?
Each price is a probability: a market trading at 0¢ means the crowd prices roughly a 0% chance it happens. PolyWatch reads every Polymarket market this way and flags the ones actually moving.