Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5) — live odds

Part of US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Andrey Rublev· see all 4 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Aguilar (+1.5)" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $10K has changed hands so far, $10K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 9, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$10K

24h volume

$10K

total volume

Sep 9, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrey Rublev and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Rublev" if Andrey Rublev wins by 2 or more sets than Daniel Merida Aguilar, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Aguilar." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Andrey Rublev can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Aguilar." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.