Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz — live odds

Part of Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz· see all 5 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Carlos Alcaraz" is trading at a 87% implied probability, with YES at 87¢ and NO at 13¢. $1.4M has changed hands so far, $1.5M of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 13, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

87%

implied probability

YES 87¢NO 13¢

recent price

+61¢ over the window

+61¢

24h change

$1.5M

24h volume

$1.4M

total volume

Nov 13, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Taylor Fritz and Carlos Alcaraz in the Rolex Paris Masters, originally scheduled for November 6, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Taylor Fritz' if Taylor Fritz advances against Carlos Alcaraz. This market will resolve to 'Carlos Alcaraz' if Carlos Alcaraz advances against Taylor Fritz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.