Set 4 Winner: Mensik vs Tien — live odds

Part of US Open ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Learner Tien· see all 3 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Set 4 Winner: Mensik vs Tien" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $2K has changed hands so far, $2K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 12, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$2K

24h volume

$2K

total volume

Sep 12, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Mensik” if Jakub Mensik wins set 4. It will resolve to “Tien” if Learner Tien wins set 4. If the match begins but set 4 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.