
Game Spread: Alcaraz (-6.5) vs Paul (+6.5) — live odds
"Game Spread: Alcaraz (-6.5) vs Paul (+6.5)" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $19K has changed hands so far, $19K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.
0%
implied probability
recent price
—
24h change
$19K
24h volume
$19K
total volume
Sep 13, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Alcaraz" if Carlos Alcaraz wins 6.5 or more total games than Tommy Paul in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Paul". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the match ends at a point where Carlos Alcaraz could no longer have finished 6.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Paul". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Game Spread: Alcaraz (-6.5) vs Paul (+6.5)"?
The market currently prices YES at — and NO at —, an implied probability of 0% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current.
How much has been traded on this market?
$19K has been traded in total, $19K of it in the last 24 hours.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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