Set 4 Winner: Paul vs Alcaraz — live odds

Part of US Open ATP: Tommy Paul vs Carlos Alcaraz· see all 9 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Set 4 Winner: Paul vs Alcaraz" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $3K has changed hands so far, $200 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by September 13, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$200

24h volume

$3K

total volume

Sep 13, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Carlos Alcaraz in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 6, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Paul” if Tommy Paul wins set 4. It will resolve to “Alcaraz” if Carlos Alcaraz wins set 4. If the match begins but set 4 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 4 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.