
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5) — final odds
"Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)" resolved on August 2, 2026 at a final price of 50¢ YES — a 50% implied probability — after $13K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.
50%
implied probability
recent price
-75¢ over the window
-75¢
24h change
$13K
24h volume
$13K
total volume
Aug 2, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 9m ago
High volatility
±27¢ swing band
- 9m ago
Odds swing
99¢ → 5¢ (-94.1¢ in 15 min)
- 44m ago
High volatility
±41.4¢ swing band
- 46m ago
conviction signal
How this market resolves
This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Spirit and MOUZ in the BLAST Bounty Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 2 at 6:30AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 3 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 3 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit wins Map 3 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Spirit's round total on Map 3 exceeds MOUZ's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "MOUZ". Map 3 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 3 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 3 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 3 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.
Quick answers
How did "Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)" resolve?
This market ended on August 2, 2026 with a final traded price of 50¢ YES (50% implied probability).
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 50¢ — an implied probability of 50%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$13K was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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