Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner final odds

Resolved NO · August 14, 2026Final price YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner" resolved NO on August 14, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $819K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

0%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

-66¢ over the window

-66¢

24h change

$819K

24h volume

$819K

total volume

Aug 14, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 3 match between LGD Gaming and Nigma Galaxy in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 14, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win Game 1 against Nigma Galaxy. This market will resolve to "Nigma Galaxy" if Nigma Galaxy win Game 1 against LGD Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, the 7-day (168-hour) delay period will be measured from the originally scheduled start time of August 14, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET to the rescheduled start time. If the rescheduled start time falls more than 168 hours after the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve to 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If no rescheduled start time falling within that 168-hour period has been announced by August 21, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is rescheduled to a start time within 168 hours of the originally scheduled start time, this market will resolve based on the result of the match as played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Quick answers

How did "Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner" resolve?

This market resolved NO on August 14, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$819K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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