
Will France win on 2026-07-09? — final odds
62%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
$18.6M
24h volume
$21.8M
total volume
Jul 9, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 13d ago
smart money move
- 14d ago
smart money move
How this market resolves
In the upcoming game, scheduled for July 9, 2026 If France wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Quick answers
How did "Will France win on 2026-07-09?" resolve?
This market ended on July 9, 2026 with a final traded price of 62¢ YES (62% implied probability).
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 62¢ — an implied probability of 62%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$21.8M was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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