New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs final odds

This market has ended · August 9, 2026Final price 50¢ YES — the market gave this a 50% implied probability.

"New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs" resolved on August 9, 2026 at a final price of 50¢ YES — a 50% implied probability — after $859K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

50%

implied probability

YES 50¢NO 50¢

recent price

-22¢ over the window

-22¢

24h change

$859K

24h volume

$859K

total volume

Aug 9, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • Spread blowout

    spread 1¢ vs 0.0123¢ normal

    2h ago
  • High volatility

    ±26.6¢ swing band

    2h ago
  • Odds swing

    2¢ → 30¢ (+28¢ in 15 min)

    2h ago
  • Volume spike

    $3,477 traded — 21.8× the average

    3h ago
  • conviction signal

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    77¢ → 52¢ (-25¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.7¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • Odds swing

    82¢ → 50¢ (-32¢ in 15 min)

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±16.1¢ swing band

    3h ago
  • High volatility

    ±21.4¢ swing band

    4h ago
How this market resolves

In the upcoming MLB game between the New York Yankees and Chicago Cubs, scheduled for August 2 at 2:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. This market will resolve to "Chicago Cubs" if the Chicago Cubs win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Quick answers

How did "New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs" resolve?

This market ended on August 9, 2026 with a final traded price of 50¢ YES (50% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 50¢ — an implied probability of 50%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$859K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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