UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card) live odds

"UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)" is trading at a 77% implied probability, with YES at 77¢ and NO at 24¢. $814K has changed hands so far, $206K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 16, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

77%

implied probability

YES 77¢NO 24¢

recent price

+76¢ over the window

+76¢

24h change

$206K

24h volume

$814K

total volume

Aug 16, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Islam Makhachev" if Islam Makhachev is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026. It will resolve to "Ian Machado Garry" if Ian Machado Garry is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)"?

The market currently prices YES at 77¢ and NO at 24¢, an implied probability of 77% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by August 16, 2026. The stated resolution source is https://www.ufc.com/events.

How much has been traded on this market?

$814K has been traded in total, $206K of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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