Will the fight be won by submission? — live odds

Part of UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)· see all 7 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the fight be won by submission?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $2K has changed hands so far, $2K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 16, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$2K

24h volume

$2K

total volume

Aug 16, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Islam Makhachev and Ian Machado Garry at UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry, scheduled for August 15, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond August 29, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.