Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? final odds

Resolved YES · August 20, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO

recent price

+9¢ over the window

+9¢

24h change

$25K

24h volume

$230K

total volume

Aug 20, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • complete set arb

    sum: 0.968 · edge: 0.022

    6d ago
How this market resolves

This market resolves to the nation represented by the player who finishes as the top goalscorer across all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation represented by the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on August 20, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$230K was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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