
Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season? — live odds
3%
implied probability
recent price
0¢ over the window
0¢
24h change
—
24h volume
$1K
total volume
Sep 28, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 33m ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.622 · edge: 0.368
- 2h ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.662 · edge: 0.328
- 3h ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.702 · edge: 0.288
- 20h ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.193 · edge: 0.797
- 22h ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.193 · edge: 0.797
- 23h ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.193 · edge: 0.797
- 1d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.192 · edge: 0.798
- 2d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.247 · edge: 0.743
- 2d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.248 · edge: 0.742
- 2d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.248 · edge: 0.742
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Aaron Judge lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?"?
The market currently prices YES at 3¢ and NO at 97¢, an implied probability of 3% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by September 28, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$1K has been traded in total, — of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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