Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — final odds

This market has ended · July 20, 2026Final price — YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" resolved on July 20, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $174.3M in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

—

24h change

$14.6M

24h volume

$174.3M

total volume

Jul 20, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

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How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" resolve?

This market ended on July 20, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.