Will Arthur Rinderknech win the 2026 Men's US Open? — final odds

Resolved NO · September 13, 2026Final price 0¢ YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

Part of 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)· see all 24 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will Arthur Rinderknech win the 2026 Men's US Open?" resolved NO on September 13, 2026 at a final price of 0¢ YES — a 0% implied probability — after $253K in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

implied probability

YES 0¢NO 100¢

recent price

—

24h change

$28K

24h volume

$253K

total volume

Sep 13, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.

How this market resolves

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Will Arthur Rinderknech win the 2026 Men's US Open?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on September 13, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.