Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? — live odds

Part of 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)· see all 22 outcomes →📲 Open in app

implied probability

YES 3¢NO 97¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$986

24h volume

$140K

total volume

Sep 13, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±23.4¢ swing band
11m ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 85¢ (+81.5¢ in 15 min)
11m ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 85¢ (+81.4¢ in 15 min)
27m ago
High volatility
±25.5¢ swing band
45m ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 92¢ (+88.6¢ in 15 min)
45m ago
High volatility
±23.5¢ swing band
1h ago
Odds swing
3¢ → 85¢ (+81.6¢ in 15 min)
1h ago
High volatility
±37.3¢ swing band
1h ago
High volatility
±25.4¢ swing band
2h ago
Odds swing
4¢ → 92¢ (+88.5¢ in 15 min)
2h ago

How this market resolves

The 2026 U.S. Open tennis tournament is scheduled for August 23 - September 13, 2026. This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 U.S. Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after October 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Open (https://www.usopen.org/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.