Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP? — live odds
"Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?" is trading at a 32% implied probability, with YES at 32¢ and NO at 69¢. $71K has changed hands so far, $2K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by March 1, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this market in real time.
32%
implied probability
recent price
-1¢ over the window
-1¢
24h change
$2K
24h volume
$71K
total volume
Mar 1, 2027
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 83d ago
High volatility
±6.9¢ swing band
- 83d ago
Odds swing
14¢ → 32¢ (+18¢ in 15 min)
- 83d ago
High volatility
±7.7¢ swing band
- 83d ago
Odds swing
32¢ → 23¢ (-9¢ in 15 min)
- 83d ago
High volatility
±26.4¢ swing band
- 83d ago
Odds swing
17¢ → 49¢ (+32¢ in 15 min)
- 83d ago
High volatility
±51.8¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Josh Allen win the 2026 NFL MVP?"?
The market currently prices YES at 32¢ and NO at 69¢, an implied probability of 32% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by March 1, 2027.
How much has been traded on this market?
$71K has been traded in total, $2K of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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