Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27? final odds

This market has ended · October 31, 2026Final price YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

"Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?" resolved on October 31, 2026 at a final price of — YES — a 0% implied probability — after $2.7M in total trading volume. The full odds history and the radar signals that moved it are below.

0%

implied probability

YES NO

recent price

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$2.7M

total volume

Oct 31, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±21.7¢ swing band

    41d ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.6¢ swing band

    41d ago
  • High volatility

    ±27.1¢ swing band

    41d ago
  • Odds swing

    0¢ → 90¢ (+89.9¢ in 15 min)

    41d ago
  • High volatility

    ±24.7¢ swing band

    41d ago
  • Odds swing

    0¢ → 80¢ (+79.6¢ in 15 min)

    41d ago
  • High volatility

    ±11.9¢ swing band

    41d ago
  • High volatility

    ±22.2¢ swing band

    41d ago
  • Odds swing

    100¢ → 76¢ (-23.6¢ in 15 min)

    41d ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.6¢ swing band

    41d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the next team LeBron James officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If LeBron James does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Lakers”. If LeBron James joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If LeBron James retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Lakers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Quick answers

How did "Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?" resolve?

This market ended on October 31, 2026 with a final traded price of — YES (0% implied probability).

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at — — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$2.7M was traded over the market's lifetime.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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