
Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? — live odds
"Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?" is trading at a 2% implied probability, with YES at 2¢ and NO at 99¢. $2K has changed hands so far, $155 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.
2%
implied probability
recent price
-28¢ over the window
-28¢
24h change
$155
24h volume
$2K
total volume
Dec 31, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
No detector alerts on this market in the last 24 hours — quiet tape.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Quick answers
What are the current odds of "Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?"?
The market currently prices YES at 2¢ and NO at 99¢, an implied probability of 2% that the answer is yes.
When does this market resolve?
This market is scheduled to resolve by December 31, 2026.
How much has been traded on this market?
$2K has been traded in total, $155 of it in the last 24 hours.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
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