Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? final odds

Resolved NO · July 20, 2026Final price YES — the market gave this a 0% implied probability.

0%

implied probability

YES NO 100¢

recent price

-30¢ over the window

-30¢

24h change

$477K

24h volume

$5.7M

total volume

Jul 20, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±21.9¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±27¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • Odds swing

    0¢ → 80¢ (+79.9¢ in 15 min)

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±28.6¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • Odds swing

    0¢ → 100¢ (+99.5¢ in 15 min)

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±51.1¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • Odds swing

    0¢ → 99¢ (+98.6¢ in 15 min)

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±28¢ swing band

    2d ago
  • Odds swing

    0¢ → 95¢ (+94.8¢ in 15 min)

    2d ago
  • High volatility

    ±29¢ swing band

    2d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" resolve?

This market resolved NO on July 20, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.

How much was traded on this market?

$5.7M was traded over the market's lifetime.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

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