
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — final odds
0%
implied probability
recent price
-30¢ over the window
-30¢
24h change
$477K
24h volume
$5.7M
total volume
Jul 20, 2026
resolves
Radar activity on this market
Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.
- 2d ago
High volatility
±21.9¢ swing band
- 2d ago
High volatility
±27¢ swing band
- 2d ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 80¢ (+79.9¢ in 15 min)
- 2d ago
High volatility
±28.6¢ swing band
- 2d ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 100¢ (+99.5¢ in 15 min)
- 2d ago
High volatility
±51.1¢ swing band
- 2d ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 99¢ (+98.6¢ in 15 min)
- 2d ago
High volatility
±28¢ swing band
- 2d ago
Odds swing
0¢ → 95¢ (+94.8¢ in 15 min)
- 2d ago
High volatility
±29¢ swing band
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to the player who scores the most goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Quick answers
How did "Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" resolve?
This market resolved NO on July 20, 2026. Its final traded price was 0¢ YES.
What did the market predict?
Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 0¢ — an implied probability of 0%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.
How much was traded on this market?
$5.7M was traded over the market's lifetime.
Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.
Get alerted when this market moves
Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.
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