Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series? — live odds

Part of MLB: 2026 American League Champion· see all 15 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?" is trading at a 24% implied probability, with YES at 24¢ and NO at 77¢. $58K has changed hands so far, $14 of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by November 1, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

24%

implied probability

YES 24¢NO 77¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$14

24h volume

$58K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±10.5¢ swing band
27d ago
High volatility
±8.6¢ swing band
27d ago
Odds swing
19¢ → 32¢ (+13¢ in 15 min)
27d ago
High volatility
±23.1¢ swing band
27d ago
Odds swing
49¢ → 99¢ (+50¢ in 15 min)
27d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.965 · edge: 0.025
81d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.