Will Seattle Mariners win the 2026 American League Championship Series? — live odds

Part of MLB: 2026 American League Champion· see all 15 outcomes →📲 Open in app

16%

implied probability

YES 16¢NO 85¢

recent price

-3¢ over the window

-3¢

24h change

24h volume

$28K

total volume

Nov 1, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

complete set arb
sum: 0.967 · edge: 0.023
36d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.967 · edge: 0.023
36d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.962 · edge: 0.028
36d ago
complete set arb
sum: 0.962 · edge: 0.028
36d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.