Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? — final odds

Resolved YES · July 20, 2026Final price 100¢ YES — the market gave this a 100% implied probability.

📲 Open in app

100%

implied probability

YES 100¢NO 0¢

recent price

+42¢ over the window

+42¢

24h change

$26.8M

24h volume

$152.1M

total volume

Jul 20, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

smart money move
2d ago
smart money move
2d ago
smart money move
5d ago
smart money move
5d ago
smart money move
5d ago
smart money move
6d ago
smart money move
6d ago
smart money move
7d ago
smart money move
7d ago
smart money move
7d ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the national team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

How did "Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" resolve?

This market resolved YES on July 20, 2026. Its final traded price was 100¢ YES.

What did the market predict?

Before settling, the market priced the YES outcome at 100¢ — an implied probability of 100%. Comparing final odds with outcomes across markets is how prediction-market accuracy is measured.