Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? — live odds

"Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?" is trading at a 7% implied probability, with YES at 7¢ and NO at 93¢. $98K has changed hands so far, and the market is scheduled to resolve by January 26, 2027. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this sports market in real time.

7%

implied probability

YES 7¢NO 93¢

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

—

24h volume

$98K

total volume

Jan 26, 2027

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • High volatility

    ±24¢ swing band

    98d ago
  • High volatility

    ±6.2¢ swing band

    98d ago
  • Odds swing

    89¢ → 70¢ (-19¢ in 15 min)

    98d ago
  • High volatility

    ±5.7¢ swing band

    98d ago
  • Odds swing

    90¢ → 8¢ (-82¢ in 15 min)

    98d ago
  • conviction signal

    98d ago
  • High volatility

    ±34.1¢ swing band

    98d ago
  • complete set arb

    sum: 0.525 · edge: 0.465

    112d ago
  • complete set arb

    sum: 0.525 · edge: 0.465

    112d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed club is determined as the national champion of the 2026-27 College Football Playoff. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to be named as the national champion of 2026-27 NCAA Football Division 1 season per the rules of NCAA (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If this event is cancelled, postponed after February 8, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be official information from the NCAA; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?"?

The market currently prices YES at 7¢ and NO at 93¢, an implied probability of 7% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by January 26, 2027.

How much has been traded on this market?

$98K has been traded in total, — of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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