Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? live odds

15%

implied probability

YES 15¢NO 85¢

recent price

+2¢ over the window

+2¢

24h change

$129

24h volume

$375K

total volume

Dec 19, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

  • complete set arb

    sum: 0.935 · edge: 0.055

    30d ago
  • complete set arb

    sum: 0.928 · edge: 0.062

    30d ago
  • High volatility

    ±17.8¢ swing band

    31d ago
  • complete set arb

    sum: 0.881 · edge: 0.109

    31d ago
  • High volatility

    ±23.6¢ swing band

    31d ago
  • High volatility

    ±38.4¢ swing band

    31d ago
  • Odds swing

    14¢ → 4¢ (-9.5¢ in 15 min)

    31d ago
  • High volatility

    ±22¢ swing band

    31d ago
  • Odds swing

    49¢ → 3¢ (-46.3¢ in 15 min)

    31d ago
  • High volatility

    ±35.2¢ swing band

    31d ago
How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 MLS Cup per the rules of MLS (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Quick answers

What are the current odds of "Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?"?

The market currently prices YES at 15¢ and NO at 85¢, an implied probability of 15% that the answer is yes.

When does this market resolve?

This market is scheduled to resolve by December 19, 2026.

How much has been traded on this market?

$375K has been traded in total, $129 of it in the last 24 hours.

Prices as of . Informational only — PolyWatch is read-only analytics, not financial advice.

Get alerted when this market moves

Eleven detectors watch this market around the clock. The app pings you on the whale trade, the odds swing, the volume spike — the moment they happen.

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