What are the current elon musk tweet count odds?

The market's most likely outcome right now is 420-439 tweets from July 14 to July 21 at 98% implied probability (YES trading at 98¢), for the edition running through Jul 21, 2026.

How often does this market repeat?

Polymarket re-lists this question on a recurring schedule. This tracker records each edition — 7 recent editions are archived below with their final prices.

How accurate have the odds been?

Across the last 7 settled editions with a decisive final price, this page shows what the market priced just before each resolution — the raw material for judging its accuracy.

Recurring market tracker

Elon Musk Tweet Count — live odds tracker

Polymarket re-lists the Elon Musk weekly tweet-count question every week. This tracker always shows the live market and how past weeks resolved against the odds.

The market's call · through Jul 21, 2026

420-439 tweets from July 14 to July 21 98% implied (98¢ YES)

Full market details →

Live now

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

98%

YES 98¢ · NO 2¢$26K

Politicsresolves Jul 21, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

70%

YES 70¢ · NO 31¢$213K

Politicsresolves Jul 21, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

28%

YES 28¢ · NO 72¢$328K

Politicsresolves Jul 21, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

YES 1¢ · NO 99¢$256K

Politicsresolves Jul 21, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$224K

Politicsresolves Jul 21, 2026

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?

YES 0¢ · NO 100¢$169K

Politicsresolves Jul 21, 2026

How past editions resolved

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Jul 24, 2026NOfinal 0¢Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Jul 21, 2026NOfinal 0¢Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 18 to July 20, 2026?Jul 20, 2026YESfinal 100¢Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 16 to July 18, 2026?Jul 18, 2026YESfinal 100¢Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Jul 17, 2026YESfinal 100¢Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Jul 15, 2026YESfinal 100¢Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Jul 14, 2026YESfinal 100¢

About this tracker

What are the current elon musk tweet count odds?: The market's most likely outcome right now is 420-439 tweets from July 14 to July 21 at 98% implied probability (YES trading at 98¢), for the edition running through Jul 21, 2026.
How often does this market repeat?: Polymarket re-lists this question on a recurring schedule. This tracker records each edition — 7 recent editions are archived below with their final prices.
How accurate have the odds been?: Across the last 7 settled editions with a decisive final price, this page shows what the market priced just before each resolution — the raw material for judging its accuracy.

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