Recurring market tracker

About this tracker

How many tweets were there in the latest period?

220-239 tweets posted for the period ending Sep 4, 2026 — that's the outcome the market settled on, so it reflects the verified result rather than a forecast.

What are the current elon musk tweet count odds?

The market's most likely outcome right now is 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5 at 51% implied probability (YES trading at 51¢), for the edition running through Sep 5, 2026.

How often does this market repeat?

Polymarket re-lists this question on a recurring schedule. This tracker records each edition — 9 recent editions are archived below with their final prices.

How accurate have the odds been?

Across the last 9 settled editions with a decisive final price, this page shows what the market priced just before each resolution — the raw material for judging its accuracy.