Event odds table
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms — live odds
5 outcomes$10.9M traded$95K · 24hresolves by November 3, 2026
Live Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms odds: D Senate, D House leads the field at 51% implied probability, ahead of R Senate, D House (36%) and R Senate, R House (11%). All 5 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $10.9M traded ($95K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by November 3, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
D Senate, D House 51%
implied probability (51¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 5
1D Senate, D House
51%51¢ · $16K 24h2R Senate, D House
36%36¢ · $13K 24h3R Senate, R House
11%11¢ · $54K 24h4D Senate, R House
1%1¢ · $11K 24h5Other
0%0¢ · $1K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms?
- The market currently favors D Senate, D House at 51% implied probability (YES trading at 51¢).
- How much has been traded on Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms?
- $10.9M has been traded across 5 outcome markets, $95K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by November 3, 2026.
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