Which outcome is favored for Bitcoin above ___ on August 21??

This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 70 (100% implied). All 11 thresholds are ranked in the table below.

How much has been traded on Bitcoin above ___ on August 21??

$1.8M has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $1.1M of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 21, 2026.

Event odds table

Bitcoin above ___ on August 21? — live odds

11 outcomes$1.8M traded$1.1M · 24hresolves by August 21, 2026

Live Bitcoin above ___ on August 21? odds: the market's 50/50 line sits at 70 (100% implied), with all 11 thresholds ranked below by probability and $1.8M traded, resolving by August 21, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's 50/50 line

70 100%

implied — the threshold the market prices closest to even, across 11 levels

Full market details →

168

100%100¢ · $217K 24h 264

100%100¢ · $110K 24h 362

100%100¢ · $32K 24h 460

100%100¢ · — 24h 570

100%100¢ · $328K 24h 672

100%100¢ · $238K 24h 766

100%100¢ · $177K 24h 858

100%100¢ · $1K 24h 956

100%100¢ · — 24h 1052

100%100¢ · $13K 24h 1154

—— · $3K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Bitcoin above ___ on August 21??: This market is a threshold ladder rather than a single-winner race; its 50/50 line sits at 70 (100% implied). All 11 thresholds are ranked in the table below.
How much has been traded on Bitcoin above ___ on August 21??: $1.8M has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $1.1M of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 21, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 11 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.