Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 21? — live odds

Part of Bitcoin above ___ on August 21?· see all 11 outcomes →📲 Open in app

"Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 21?" is trading at a 0% implied probability, with YES at — and NO at —. $6K has changed hands so far, $3K of it in the past 24 hours, and the market is scheduled to resolve by August 21, 2026. PolyWatch tracks every odds move, whale trade and volume spike on this crypto market in real time.

implied probability

YES —NO —

recent price

0¢ over the window

0¢

24h change

$3K

24h volume

$6K

total volume

Aug 21, 2026

resolves

Radar activity on this market

Recent signals from PolyWatch's detectors watching this market 24/7.

High volatility
±26.9¢ swing band
9h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 43¢ (-56.9¢ in 15 min)
9h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 13¢ (-86.9¢ in 15 min)
9h ago
High volatility
±35.4¢ swing band
9h ago
High volatility
±37.4¢ swing band
9h ago
High volatility
±28.5¢ swing band
10h ago
Odds swing
32¢ → 42¢ (+10¢ in 15 min)
10h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 44¢ (-55.8¢ in 15 min)
10h ago
High volatility
±23.8¢ swing band
10h ago
Odds swing
100¢ → 13¢ (-86.9¢ in 15 min)
10h ago

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.