Which outcome is favored for Bitcoin above ___ on August 4??

The market currently favors "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?" at 100% implied probability (YES trading at 100¢).

How much has been traded on Bitcoin above ___ on August 4??

$1.6M has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $1.0M of it in the last 24 hours.

When do these markets resolve?

The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 4, 2026.

Event odds table

Bitcoin above ___ on August 4? — live odds

11 outcomes$1.6M traded$1.0M · 24hresolves by August 4, 2026

Live Bitcoin above ___ on August 4? odds: the market's 50/50 line sits at 64 (25% implied), with all 11 thresholds ranked below by probability and $1.6M traded, resolving by August 4, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.

The market's 50/50 line

64 25%

implied — the threshold the market prices closest to even, across 11 levels

Full market details →

158

100%100¢ · $114K 24h 256

100%100¢ · $103K 24h 354

100%100¢ · $44K 24h 460

99%99¢ · $51K 24h 562

93%93¢ · $148K 24h 664

25%25¢ · $71K 24h 766

1%1¢ · $77K 24h 870

0%0¢ · $181K 24h 968

0%0¢ · $112K 24h 1072

0%0¢ · $35K 24h 1174

0%0¢ · $64K 24h

About this event

Which outcome is favored for Bitcoin above ___ on August 4??: The market currently favors "Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4?" at 100% implied probability (YES trading at 100¢).
How much has been traded on Bitcoin above ___ on August 4??: $1.6M has been traded across 11 outcome markets, $1.0M of it in the last 24 hours.
When do these markets resolve?: The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 4, 2026.

Get alerts on every outcome

PolyWatch watches all 11 outcome markets 24/7 and pushes whale trades, odds swings and volume spikes the moment they land. Free on iOS and Android.