Event odds table
Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? — live odds
19 outcomes$1.6M traded$430K · 24hresolves by August 18, 2026
Live Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026? odds: 160-179 leads the field at 66% implied probability, ahead of 140-159 (20%) and 180-199 (15%). All 19 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.6M traded ($430K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 18, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
160-179 66%
implied probability (66¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 19
1160-179
66%66¢ · $47K 24h2140-159
20%20¢ · $121K 24h3180-199
15%14¢ · $49K 24h4200-219
1%1¢ · $64K 24h5220-239
0%0¢ · $58K 24h6240-259
0%0¢ · $52K 24h7260-279
0%0¢ · $27K 24h8280-299
0%0¢ · $8K 24h9300-319
0%0¢ · $2K 24h10500+
0%0¢ · — 24h11320-339
0%0¢ · — 24h12340-359
0%0¢ · — 24h13360-379
—— · — 24h14380-399
—— · — 24h15400-419
—— · — 24h16420-439
—— · — 24h17440-459
—— · — 24h18460-479
—— · — 24h19480-499
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026??
- The market currently favors 160-179 at 66% implied probability (YES trading at 66¢).
- How much has been traded on Elon Musk # tweets August 11 - August 18, 2026??
- $1.6M has been traded across 19 outcome markets, $430K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 18, 2026.
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