Event odds table
Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? — live odds
20 outcomes$1.7M traded$831K · 24hresolves by August 21, 2026
Live Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026? odds: 200-219 leads the field at 34% implied probability, ahead of 220-239 (26%) and 180-199 (17%). All 20 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.7M traded ($831K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 21, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
200-219 34%
implied probability (34¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 20
1200-219
34%34¢ · $77K 24h2220-239
26%26¢ · $91K 24h3180-199
17%17¢ · $68K 24h4240-259
15%15¢ · $70K 24h5260-279
6%6¢ · $58K 24h6160-179
2%2¢ · $93K 24h7280-299
1%1¢ · $57K 24h8300-319
0%0¢ · $35K 24h9120-139
0%0¢ · $127K 24h10140-159
0%0¢ · $143K 24h11320-339
0%0¢ · $11K 24h12500+
0%0¢ · — 24h13380-399
0%0¢ · — 24h14340-359
0%0¢ · $1K 24h15360-379
0%0¢ · — 24h16400-419
—— · — 24h17420-439
—— · — 24h18440-459
—— · — 24h19460-479
—— · — 24h20480-499
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026??
- The market currently favors 200-219 at 34% implied probability (YES trading at 34¢).
- How much has been traded on Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026??
- $1.7M has been traded across 20 outcome markets, $831K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 21, 2026.
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