Event odds table

Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026? — live odds
14 outcomes$1.8M traded$767K · 24hresolves by August 25, 2026
Live Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026? odds: 340-359 leads the field at 22% implied probability, ahead of 320-339 (22%) and 360-379 (18%). All 14 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.8M traded ($767K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 25, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
340-359 22%
implied probability (22¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 14
1340-359
22%22¢ · $41K 24h2320-339
22%22¢ · $35K 24h3360-379
18%18¢ · $22K 24h4300-319
15%15¢ · $40K 24h5380-399
10%10¢ · $36K 24h6400-419
5%5¢ · $52K 24h7280-299
4%4¢ · $65K 24h8420-439
2%2¢ · $69K 24h9500+
1%1¢ · $74K 24h10440-459
1%1¢ · $46K 24h11460-479
1%1¢ · $36K 24h12480-499
0%0¢ · $25K 24h13260-279
0%0¢ · $74K 24h14240-259
0%0¢ · $151K 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026??
- The market currently favors 340-359 at 22% implied probability (YES trading at 22¢).
- How much has been traded on Elon Musk # tweets August 18 - August 25, 2026??
- $1.8M has been traded across 14 outcome markets, $767K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 25, 2026.