Event odds table

Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026? — live odds
19 outcomes$1.8M traded$791K · 24hresolves by August 28, 2026
Live Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026? odds: 180-199 leads the field at 48% implied probability, ahead of 160-179 (32%) and 200-219 (18%). All 19 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.8M traded ($791K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 28, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
180-199 48%
implied probability (48¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 19
1180-199
48%48¢ · $58K 24h2160-179
32%32¢ · $140K 24h3200-219
18%18¢ · $57K 24h4220-239
3%3¢ · $61K 24h5240-259
1%1¢ · $47K 24h6260-279
0%0¢ · $44K 24h7280-299
0%0¢ · $43K 24h8140-159
0%0¢ · $164K 24h9300-319
0%0¢ · $51K 24h10320-339
0%0¢ · $43K 24h11500+
0%0¢ · — 24h12380-399
0%0¢ · $23K 24h13340-359
0%0¢ · $29K 24h14360-379
0%0¢ · $29K 24h15420-439
0%0¢ · $900 24h16440-459
0%0¢ · — 24h17400-419
0%0¢ · $773 24h18460-479
0%0¢ · — 24h19480-499
0%0¢ · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026??
- The market currently favors 180-199 at 48% implied probability (YES trading at 48¢).
- How much has been traded on Elon Musk # tweets August 21 - August 28, 2026??
- $1.8M has been traded across 19 outcome markets, $791K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 28, 2026.