Event odds table
Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026? — live odds
17 outcomes$1.6M traded$755K · 24hresolves by September 4, 2026
Live Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026? odds: 220-239 leads the field at 44% implied probability, ahead of 200-219 (41%) and 240-259 (12%). All 17 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.6M traded ($755K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by September 4, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
220-239 44%
implied probability (44¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 17
1220-239
44%44¢ · $112K 24h2200-219
41%41¢ · $74K 24h3240-259
12%12¢ · $84K 24h4260-279
4%3¢ · $73K 24h5180-199
2%2¢ · $183K 24h6280-299
1%1¢ · $56K 24h7300-319
1%1¢ · $78K 24h8320-339
0%0¢ · $67K 24h9340-359
0%0¢ · $23K 24h10500+
0%0¢ · — 24h11360-379
0%0¢ · $6K 24h12380-399
—— · — 24h13400-419
—— · — 24h14420-439
—— · — 24h15440-459
—— · — 24h16460-479
—— · — 24h17480-499
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026??
- The market currently favors 220-239 at 44% implied probability (YES trading at 44¢).
- How much has been traded on Elon Musk # tweets August 28 - September 4, 2026??
- $1.6M has been traded across 17 outcome markets, $755K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by September 4, 2026.
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