Event odds table
Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? — live odds
19 outcomes$1.6M traded$485K · 24hresolves by August 11, 2026
Live Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026? odds: 160-179 leads the field at 50% implied probability, ahead of 180-199 (41%) and 200-219 (7%). All 19 outcome markets are ranked below by the odds real money is pricing, with $1.6M traded ($485K in the last 24 hours) and the field resolving by August 11, 2026. Prices refresh every few minutes as trades land.
The market's call
160-179 50%
implied probability (50¢ YES) — the most-likely outcome of 19
1160-179
50%50¢ · $61K 24h2180-199
41%41¢ · $38K 24h3200-219
7%7¢ · $55K 24h4220-239
1%1¢ · $41K 24h5140-159
0%0¢ · $177K 24h6240-259
0%0¢ · $60K 24h7260-279
0%0¢ · $32K 24h8280-299
0%0¢ · $20K 24h9300-319
0%0¢ · $1K 24h10320-339
0%0¢ · $21 24h11500+
0%0¢ · — 24h12360-379
0%0¢ · — 24h13340-359
0%0¢ · — 24h14380-399
—— · $40 24h15400-419
—— · — 24h16440-459
—— · — 24h17480-499
—— · — 24h18460-479
—— · — 24h19420-439
—— · — 24h
About this event
- Which outcome is favored for Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026??
- The market currently favors 160-179 at 50% implied probability (YES trading at 50¢).
- How much has been traded on Elon Musk # tweets August 4 - August 11, 2026??
- $1.6M has been traded across 19 outcome markets, $485K of it in the last 24 hours.
- When do these markets resolve?
- The earliest outcome market is scheduled to resolve by August 11, 2026.
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